POLICY
JAKARTA (FORESTHINTS.NEWS) - Indonesian Environment and Forestry Minister Siti Nurbaya has outlined Indonesia’s planned response to the UNFCCC Decision and the outcomes of COP-28, highlighting the country’s intent to align its next Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) with a long-term low greenhouse gas (GHG) emission development strategy.
This strategy is designed to be in full alignment with the Life Cycle Climate Performance (LCCP) scenario, which is consistent with the targets set by the Paris Agreement.
Minister Nurbaya emphasized that this approach represents Indonesia’s most ambitious scenario as set out in the Long-Term Strategy for Low Carbon and Climate Resilience (LTS-LCCR) 2050.
She also stated that Indonesia will adopt the 2019 reference point as mandated by COP decisions, which will be integral to the formulation of the Second NDC.
These next NDC efforts were shared by Minister Nurbaya during a policy discussion held in Jakarta (Aug 20).
She further elaborated that Indonesia is actively collaborating with key line ministries to ensure that the Second NDC includes emission level targets for 2035, taking into account both low and high economic growth scenarios.
According to the Minister, even with a lower projected economic growth of 6.00% by 2030, rising to 6.70% by 2035, or higher growth rates of 6.50% in 2030 and increasing to 7.80% by 2035, emissions will still exceed 2019 levels.
This, however, is consistent with the recognition in the Paris Agreement that it may take longer for emissions to peak in developing countries.
The Minister explained that absolute emission reductions will be realized when comparing the 2035 emission targets to the current policy scenario outlined in Indonesia’s Enhanced NDC. This commitment reflects Indonesia’s dedication to achieving significant emission reductions.
Rising ambitions
Minister Nurbaya also underscored the importance of the Forestry and Other Land Use (FOLU) Net Sink 2030 climate targets, describing it as a highly esteemed effort within Indonesia’s FOLU community.
Additionally, she identified other ambitious initiatives such as Net Zero Emissions by 2060 or sooner and the newly launched Zero Waste Zero Emissions 2050 as key drivers in shaping Indonesia’s Second NDC scenario to date.
The Minister also expressed optimism about future emission reductions in the energy sector, particularly by 2035, under both economic growth scenarios.
She noted that anticipated emission declines will result from the scaling up and intervention of new mitigation measures, including energy efficiency improvements, the adoption of induction stoves, and the development of green ammonia and green hydrogen for transportation.
These measures, the Minister affirmed, are indicative of Indonesia’s increasing ambition to reduce emissions.
Negative emissions by 2060
Minister Nurbaya also laid out Indonesia’s vision for achieving negative emissions by 2060, based on comparisons with 2019 emission levels.
She detailed projections of up to -97.6% or -61.231 million tons of CO2e under the low economic growth scenario, and up to -103.1% or -92.636 million tons of CO2e under the high economic growth scenario.
The Minister asserted confidently that, based on Indonesia’s current progress in NDC implementation and the acceleration of mitigation measures, the country is on track to achieve net-zero emissions, potentially even slightly before the 2060 target.
Balancing climate and economy
Minister Nurbaya also pointed out that the Second NDC is designed not only to advance climate goals but also to support Indonesia’s economic growth.
She stressed the need to balance Indonesia’s role as a superpower in tackling the climate crisis with the pursuit of its potential economic growth.
“The Second NDC must accommodate the potential economic growth of 8%, as projected by President-elect Prabowo Subianto, which is expected to be realized under his leadership in the coming years,” the Minister stated in conclusion.
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POLICY
JAKARTA (FORESTHINTS.NEWS) - Indonesian Environment and Forestry Minister Siti Nurbaya has outlined Indonesia’s planned response to the UNFCCC Decision and the outcomes of COP-28, highlighting the country’s intent to align its next Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) with a long-term low greenhouse gas (GHG) emission development strategy.
This strategy is designed to be in full alignment with the Life Cycle Climate Performance (LCCP) scenario, which is consistent with the targets set by the Paris Agreement.
Minister Nurbaya emphasized that this approach represents Indonesia’s most ambitious scenario as set out in the Long-Term Strategy for Low Carbon and Climate Resilience (LTS-LCCR) 2050.
She also stated that Indonesia will adopt the 2019 reference point as mandated by COP decisions, which will be integral to the formulation of the Second NDC.
These next NDC efforts were shared by Minister Nurbaya during a policy discussion held in Jakarta (Aug 20).
She further elaborated that Indonesia is actively collaborating with key line ministries to ensure that the Second NDC includes emission level targets for 2035, taking into account both low and high economic growth scenarios.
According to the Minister, even with a lower projected economic growth of 6.00% by 2030, rising to 6.70% by 2035, or higher growth rates of 6.50% in 2030 and increasing to 7.80% by 2035, emissions will still exceed 2019 levels.
This, however, is consistent with the recognition in the Paris Agreement that it may take longer for emissions to peak in developing countries.
The Minister explained that absolute emission reductions will be realized when comparing the 2035 emission targets to the current policy scenario outlined in Indonesia’s Enhanced NDC. This commitment reflects Indonesia’s dedication to achieving significant emission reductions.
Rising ambitions
Minister Nurbaya also underscored the importance of the Forestry and Other Land Use (FOLU) Net Sink 2030 climate targets, describing it as a highly esteemed effort within Indonesia’s FOLU community.
Additionally, she identified other ambitious initiatives such as Net Zero Emissions by 2060 or sooner and the newly launched Zero Waste Zero Emissions 2050 as key drivers in shaping Indonesia’s Second NDC scenario to date.
The Minister also expressed optimism about future emission reductions in the energy sector, particularly by 2035, under both economic growth scenarios.
She noted that anticipated emission declines will result from the scaling up and intervention of new mitigation measures, including energy efficiency improvements, the adoption of induction stoves, and the development of green ammonia and green hydrogen for transportation.
These measures, the Minister affirmed, are indicative of Indonesia’s increasing ambition to reduce emissions.
Negative emissions by 2060
Minister Nurbaya also laid out Indonesia’s vision for achieving negative emissions by 2060, based on comparisons with 2019 emission levels.
She detailed projections of up to -97.6% or -61.231 million tons of CO2e under the low economic growth scenario, and up to -103.1% or -92.636 million tons of CO2e under the high economic growth scenario.
The Minister asserted confidently that, based on Indonesia’s current progress in NDC implementation and the acceleration of mitigation measures, the country is on track to achieve net-zero emissions, potentially even slightly before the 2060 target.
Balancing climate and economy
Minister Nurbaya also pointed out that the Second NDC is designed not only to advance climate goals but also to support Indonesia’s economic growth.
She stressed the need to balance Indonesia’s role as a superpower in tackling the climate crisis with the pursuit of its potential economic growth.
“The Second NDC must accommodate the potential economic growth of 8%, as projected by President-elect Prabowo Subianto, which is expected to be realized under his leadership in the coming years,” the Minister stated in conclusion.
RELATED STORIES
